The Shadow Side: The Uber Warning
However, every transformation carries risks. Uber’s journey from disruptor to incumbent offers a cautionary tale for the agent era. Initially, Uber leveraged technology to create what resembled a “perfect free market”—transparent surge pricing, balanced supply and demand, and the delivery of an enormous consumer surplus. Riders got convenient transportation, drivers earned flexible income, and algorithms efficiently matched supply with demand.
Then came the shift. Uber gradually moved from transparent algorithms to opaque “upfront pricing,” decoupling driver pay from rider fares. The company’s control of the platform allowed it to capture an ever-larger share of each transaction’s value. What began as a revolutionary alternative to expensive taxis evolved into a highly profitable but less transparent service. The “free lunch” of those early days was revealed as temporary—a loss-leader strategy to achieve market dominance.
This pattern threatens to repeat in the AI agent ecosystem. Training frontier models requires massive investment. As OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google establish dominance and standards solidify, token costs could follow Uber’s trajectory. Early competitive pricing gives way to value extraction as entry barriers grow insurmountable. The question isn’t whether AI will transform industries, but who will control—and profit from—that transformation.
IoT: The Perfect Candidate for Agentic Orchestration
Nowhere is the agent revolution’s potential more evident than in the Internet of Things (IoT). IoT platforms are, by their nature, ideal candidates for agentic orchestration. They’re essentially sophisticated black boxes—device management systems that collect, process, and act on vast streams of sensor data. Once device management is orchestrated by AI agents, IoT platforms become universal data brokers. Need real-time temperature data from manufacturing facilities across three continents? An agent queries the relevant IoT platform. Want predictive maintenance analytics for a fleet of vehicles? Another agent accesses vehicle telemetry and runs inference models. Seeking environmental sensor networks to optimize building energy consumption? Yet another agent taps into smart building platforms.
What once looked like a pipe dream is quickly becoming reality. The elegance lies in abstraction. Rather than engineers manually integrating each IoT platform’s unique API, writing custom data transformation logic, and maintaining brittle connections, agents will handle the orchestration. They will understand context, translate between incompatible schemas, and deliver exactly the datasets needed for specific analytics tasks. It will be just a matter of time.
A New World Emerging
We stand at a threshold moment. The old world of carefully crafted UIs, siloed SaaS applications, and manual system integration is giving way to something more fluid, more powerful, and potentially more dangerous. Will we be able to master these technologies—not just about what’s technically possible, but regarding what kind of future we want to build?
The agent era promises unprecedented productivity, seamless orchestration, and interfaces that feel like natural conversation. But it also risks concentrating power in the hands of those who control the foundational models, repeating patterns of platform capture we’ve seen before. For IoT specifically, the opportunity is immense: truly intelligent systems that adapt, optimize, and orchestrate across previously incompatible devices and platforms. The challenge is ensuring that this orchestration serves users rather than merely extracting value from them. The alien tool Karpathy described is indeed powerful. Now we must learn not just how to hold it, but where to point it—and who gets to decide.